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States flipping in 2020 election


As of Nov 9th, the state markets on predictit are still pricing in significant uncertainty. The following states have at least 5% implied odds of flipping from the current winner:

Nevada (90% to Biden)

Arizona (84% to Biden)

Wisconsin (88% to Biden)

Michigan (90% to Biden)

Georgia (83% to Biden)

North Carolina (95% to Trump)

Pennsylvania (87% to Biden)

Alaska (95% to Trump).

Will any states flip from the current projected winner?

This question resolves positively if any of the markets above resolve in favor of the current "underdog" candidate, or if the market for any other state currently called by the networks for one candidate ultimately resolves for a different candidate.

This question resolves negatively if all of the state markets at predictit resolve in the direction of the current leader.

This question resolves ambiguously if any state market at predictit resolves ambiguously, or if any state conducts a second election in order to determine presidential electors for 2020.

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