68 comments
279 forecasters
Will Donald Trump attempt to pardon himself?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 21, 2021
Resolved:Jan 26, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2020
Will Donald Trump pardon anyone involved in these cases of political violence during his second term?
18 forecasters
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
3% chance
168
Will at least 10 individuals affiliated with the U.S. president receive a presidential pardon or commutation in the following years?
7 forecasters