29 comments
169 forecasters
Will Trump be indicted for obstruction of justice before 2026?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolved:Jun 9, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2020
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Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
803
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
24 Aug 2029
(27 Jul 2027 - 16 Nov 2029)
24 Aug 2029
(27 Jul 2027 - 16 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
8% chance
159