Question

Will Trump be indicted for obstruction of justice before 2026?

Resolved:Yes

29 comments29

Total Forecasters169

Community Prediction

99%

(93% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

5.1

Authors:

t_adamczewski

Opened:

Nov 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 15, 2020

Law

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

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Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

01 Oct 2029

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

19%

Authors:

t_adamczewski

Opened:

Nov 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 15, 2020

Law

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

July 16, 2025: Donald Trump presidency news

CNN•Jul 17, 2025

Trump Gave Hints He Might Withhold Epstein Files Before 2024 Election

Forbes•Jul 15, 2025

Is the DOJ Building a Bombshell Conspiracy Case Against Deep State Plot to Stop Trump?

Townhall•Jul 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

01 Oct 2029

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

19%