Question
Will a nuclear device with a yield of at least 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2021?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters187
Community Prediction
5%
(4% - 8%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
54.0
Community Peer Score
9.3
Authors:
Opened:Nov 17, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 19, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Nov 17, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 19, 2020
