163 forecasters

Will the US Senate Majority Leader be a Republican on February 1st 2021?

58%chance

58%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 58% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Nov 20, 2020

Closes:

Jan 5, 2021

Resolved:

Feb 7, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2020

2020-2021 Leaderboard

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Georgia Democrat gains traction in special election for state Senate seat in deeply GOP district

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The Republicans Bounce Back (A Little) in the Battle for the U.S. Senate

Red State•Sep 7, 2025

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