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China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050

Question

There is a lot of discussion about the rise of China as a global superpower. One interesting way to quantify it, is to look at the ratio of GDP nominal of the current global superpower, USA, to China. So far, this value has changed from 0.11 in 1980 to 0.69 in 2020 (estimated). China shows an average higher GDP growth, so it stands to reason it may surpass the US by some ratio in 2050, but which? Note, this question is NOT about "per capita" numbers, but take into account the changes in population sizes and how these may affect GDP.

What will the China-to-USA GDP ratio be in 2050?

  • IMF published GDP nominal dataset.
  • If IMF stops publishing this, administrators choose a new similar dataset.

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Categories:
Economy
Geopolitics

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