Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050


There is a lot of discussion about the rise of China as a global superpower. One interesting way to quantify it, is to look at the ratio of GDP nominal of the current global superpower, USA, to China. So far, this value has changed from 0.11 in 1980 to 0.69 in 2020 (estimated). China shows an average higher GDP growth, so it stands to reason it may surpass the US by some ratio in 2050, but which? Note, this question is NOT about "per capita" numbers, but take into account the changes in population sizes and how these may affect GDP.

What will the China-to-USA GDP ratio be in 2050?

  • IMF published GDP nominal dataset.
  • If IMF stops publishing this, administrators choose a new similar dataset.

Related questions:


Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.