Question
Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?
Resolved:5Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction
4.93
(3.02 - 5.03)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 3.016 | — |
| median | 4.929 | — |
| upper 75% | 5.027 | — |
What was the final result?5
Community Baseline Score
136.7
Community Peer Score
49.9
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2020
Closes:Jun 30, 2022
Resolves:Sep 5, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 3, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2020
Closes:Jun 30, 2022
Resolves:Sep 5, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 3, 2020