Question
When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?
Resolved :22 Nov 2021Total Forecasters245
Community Prediction
10 Jan 2022
(15 Nov 2021 - 31 May 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 15 Nov 2021 | — |
| median | 10 Jan 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 31 May 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >167158080000% | 14.8% | — |
What was the final result?22 Nov 2021
Community Baseline Score
33.5
Community Peer Score
23.2
Authors:
Opened:Nov 28, 2020
Closes:Dec 20, 2021
Resolves:Dec 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 29, 2020
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Nov 28, 2020
Closes:Dec 20, 2021
Resolves:Dec 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 29, 2020
