Authors:
Opened:Nov 12, 2017
Closes:Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 13, 2017
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33% chance
404
Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?
21% chance
44
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
May 2049
(Oct 2034 - 2097)
May 2049
(Oct 2034 - 2097)
70 forecasters