Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
378
1.7k
forecasters
81
378 comments
1.7k forecasters
Technology
2 more...
Will humans go extinct before 2100?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
2%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Top Key Factors
View all (1)
Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans
Increases Likelihood
26
5
Comments (378)
Timeline
Key Factors (1)
Question Info
Similar Questions
Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans
Increases Likelihood
26
5
Add key factor
Add key factor
23 comments
423 forecasters
Global Population Decline >10% by 2100
39%
chance
16 comments
46 forecasters
Extinction If Population Under 400 Million
21%
chance
7 comments
73 forecasters
Date of AI-Driven Human Extinction
Current estimate
Apr 2048
11 comments
162 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will humans be extinct?
1%
chance
4 comments
58 forecasters
>1,000 Detonations Cause Extinction
5%
chance
87 comments
285 forecasters
Human condition to change before 2100
97%
chance
5 comments
10 forecasters
Panda Extinct by 2100?
2%
chance
6 comments
101 forecasters
Lack of Major World Events Before 2050?
5%
chance