Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
371
comments
1.7k
forecasters
Will humans go extinct before 2100?
1%
chance
Share
Predict
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Nov 12, 2017
Closes:
Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:
Nov 13, 2017
Technology
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Health & Pandemics
Similar Questions
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
404
Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?
21%
chance
44
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
May 2049
(Oct 2034 - 2097)
May 2049
(Oct 2034 - 2097)
70
forecasters
Show More Questions