Question

Will there be more VR headset sales than AR headsets sales in 2025?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters263

Community Prediction

37%

(20% - 59%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Nov 14, 2017

Closed:

Dec 3, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 31, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 15, 2017

Computing and Math

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

In the XR game now: Meta, Apple, Google and now Samsung. Next will be Amazon? Summer Galaxy Unpacked will be in early July. The headset will arrive in the fall Samsung Magazin

•Jun 24, 2025

Meta and Google made big promises at AWE, but AR glasses' future is still messy

•Jun 17, 2025

Meta Hints at New Oakley-Branded Smart Glasses

•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030

When will virtual reality headset sales exceed 10 million units per year?

09 Oct 2025

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60.9%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Nov 14, 2017

Closed:

Dec 3, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 31, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 15, 2017

Computing and Math

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

In the XR game now: Meta, Apple, Google and now Samsung. Next will be Amazon? Summer Galaxy Unpacked will be in early July. The headset will arrive in the fall Samsung Magazin

•Jun 24, 2025

Meta and Google made big promises at AWE, but AR glasses' future is still messy

•Jun 17, 2025

Meta Hints at New Oakley-Branded Smart Glasses

•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030

When will virtual reality headset sales exceed 10 million units per year?

09 Oct 2025

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60.9%