Question

When will most members of the House of Lords be directly democratically elected?

Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
>Jan 2040
(Nov 2032 - >Jan 2040)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Nov 2032
median>Jan 2040
upper 75%>Jan 2040
Upper bound
>Jan 204050.4%
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021