23 comments
36 forecasters
How effective will a second RCT find the most effective regimen of the AstraZenca SARS-CoV-2 vaccine to be?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 29, 2020
Closes:Mar 22, 2021
Resolved:May 9, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 1, 2020
Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?
18 forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
1.94 CRT
(1.07 - 3.04)
1.94 CRT
(1.07 - 3.04)
4 forecasters
Will the study of oral rehydration solution and zinc distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in ORS/zinc usage by the recipients?
90% chance
69