35 forecasters

Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?

48.5%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 1, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2060

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2101

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 3, 2020

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