20 comments
70 forecasters
Will the #NoFees4Charity campaign succeed?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2020
Closes:Dec 10, 2020
Resolved:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 1, 2020
When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?
25 Jul 2028
(18 Apr 2025 - >31 Dec 2029)
25 Jul 2028
(18 Apr 2025 - >31 Dec 2029)
15 forecasters
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79% chance
90
Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?
0.5% chance
158