84 comments
350 forecasters
Will the price of bitcoin drop below $10K USD in 2021?
6%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 6% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2020
Closes:Sep 14, 2021
Resolved:Jan 2, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 6, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?
>Dec 2030
(27 Sep 2026 - >Dec 2030)
>Dec 2030
(27 Sep 2026 - >Dec 2030)
61 forecasters
Will the price of Bitcoin fall below $10 (2021 USD) before 2121?
29% chance
141
Will Bitcoin’s price drop below 50% of its highest recorded price at any point before 2040?
90% chance
30