China to land the next person on the Moon

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Question

Both China and the US have announced plans to land a person on the Moon. Both are tentatively aiming to land someone on the Moon in the year 2024.

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

This question will resolve positively if the next person to successfully land on the Moon before the resolve date is a Chinese citizen and will resolve negatively otherwise.

This question will resolve immediately prior to the time of the Moon landing itself or, if that’s not available, immediately prior to the first credible media report.

For a person to successfully land on the Moon, they must be alive and inside a vehicle that physically touches the Moon’s surface. Everyone in the vehicle must be alive for 15 minutes after the vehicle touches down. They are not required to perform a walk outside the vehicle. “The Moon” refers to Earth’s moon. This does not require that they leave the Moon. If the next vehicle to land on the Moon contains more than one person, the person who performs the first Moon walk will be considered first. If there is no Moon walk, all people in the landing vehicle must be citizens of China for this to resolve positively. A Chinese citizen counts toward positive resolution even if they have citizenship in another country.

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