6 comments
84 forecasters
Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?
58%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 58% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 21, 2017
Closes:May 16, 2018
Resolved:Jan 2, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2017
Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?
13.5% chance
12
Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025?
91% chance
40
Will the USPS be privatized before January 20, 2029?
15% chance
9