41 comments
548 forecasters
Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?
97%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 21, 2017
Closes:Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jun 14, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 21, 2017
How much global warming by 2100?
3.16 °C
(2.26 - 4.22)
3.16 °C
(2.26 - 4.22)
580 forecasters
When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?
Aug 2043
(Feb 2036 - Sep 2055)
Aug 2043
(Feb 2036 - Sep 2055)
138 forecasters
How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2100 in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?
11.6 Gt CO₂e
(5.38 - 20.3)
11.6 Gt CO₂e
(5.38 - 20.3)
7 forecasters