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27
189
forecasters
17
27 comments
189 forecasters
AI Demonstrations
3 more...
Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?
Predict
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4%
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8 comments
84 forecasters
AI Poker Bot Wins Major Competition
Current estimate
19 Oct 2029
1 comment
40 forecasters
AI Masters Poohsticks
Current estimate
Aug 2031
11 comments
172 forecasters
AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?
98%
chance
12 comments
40 forecasters
Anthropomorphic robots in football?
62%
chance
10 comments
41 forecasters
Number of New Leading AI Labs
0 or 1
49.8%
2 or 3
32.9%
4 or 5
11.9%
6 or 7
3.2%
2 others
6 comments
80 forecasters
When AI concern go mainstream in US?
Current estimate
26 Feb 2028
14 comments
62 forecasters
AI resolving questions on Metaculus
2025
result:
No
2030
70%
2035
91%
2040
90%
2050
96%
3 comments
73 forecasters
AI Blackmail for Material Gain by EOY 2028
70%
chance