Question
Will the Open Courts Act become law?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters40
Community Prediction
61%
(54% - 68%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
2.4
Community Baseline Score
-23.1
Authors:
Opened:Dec 25, 2020
Closes:Apr 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 27, 2020
Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act?
9%
Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?
70%
Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?
0.1%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 25, 2020
Closes:Apr 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 27, 2020
Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act?
9%
Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?
70%
Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?
0.1%