24 comments
150 forecasters
Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?
16%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 29, 2020
Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?
32.1% chance
44
When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?
2078
(Dec 2055 - 2112)
2078
(Dec 2055 - 2112)
49 forecasters
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40% chance
82