156 forecasters

Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?

5%chance

5%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 24, 2017

Closes:

Apr 1, 2018

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 24, 2017

Economy & Business

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Tesla suffers huge market share loss as shoppers look to rivals... and it's only going to get worse

Daily Mail•Sep 9, 2025

Tesla's EV market share in the US falls to its lowest level in 8 years

Business Insider•Sep 9, 2025

Tesla’s US market share hits 8-year low amid rising competition

USA Today•Sep 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch