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12
36
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36 forecasters
Artificial Intelligence
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How many papers on AI ethics and algorithmic bias will be published by the end of 2022?
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2 comments
118 forecasters
AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
63%
chance
1 comment
11 forecasters
Share of AI Publications from China
Current estimate
48.2%
4 comments
59 forecasters
Cybersecurity Laws for Powerful AI by 2030?
85%
chance
13 comments
141 forecasters
AI Unauthorized Access Before 2033?
99%
chance
2 comments
7 forecasters
When will moral patienthood of AI systems be acknowledged?
Current estimate
>01 Jan 2031
3 comments
18 forecasters
AI-written article in the New York Times
In 2024
0.1%
In 2025
0.1%
In 2026-2027
61.7%
In 2028-2029
28%
2030 or later
10.2%
0 comments
7 forecasters
Scientific Articles Published
1 comment
3 forecasters
Percent who trust AI in US according to Edelman?