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Question

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?

Resolved :260287
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction287 (239 - 338)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<901.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%239.2
median287
upper 75%338.1
Upper bound
>7000.4%

What was the final result?260

Community Baseline Score
52.7
Community Peer Score
37.4
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 14, 2021
Resolves:Jun 15, 2021

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