Question
How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?
Resolved:744Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction
749
(666 - 849)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <450 | 4.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 666.3 | — |
| median | 749 | — |
| upper 75% | 849.2 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1200 | 1.4% | — |
What was the final result?744
Community Peer Score
18.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 13, 2021
Resolves:Jun 15, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 16, 2020
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
91.9
In the following years, what will be the highest LLM scores on the GPQA Diamond benchmark?
92.7
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
47.5
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 13, 2021
Resolves:Jun 15, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 16, 2020
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
91.9
In the following years, what will be the highest LLM scores on the GPQA Diamond benchmark?
92.7
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
47.5