35 comments
201 forecasters
Will 2021 be the hottest year on record according to NASA?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 12, 2020
Closes:Oct 31, 2021
Resolved:Jan 14, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 12, 2020
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?
98 forecasters
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?
2% chance
631
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20% chance
142