Question

Will the world agree to new climate targets at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference?

Resolved:No
7
12
Total Forecasters98
Community Prediction
58%
(51% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 58%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-56.9
Community Peer Score
2.9
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:Dec 12, 2020
Closes:Oct 27, 2021
Resolves:Nov 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 13, 2020
Economist 2021
Environment & Climate
2020-2021 Leaderboard