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    Number of commercial flights on 30 June 2021

    Created by MetaculusOutlooks on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}.
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    Published by MetaculusOutlooks on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}.

    Question

    The daily number of flights in operation globally dropped precipitously this past March/April as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and remains well below 2018 and 2019 figures. The 7-day moving average number of commercial flights on 30 June 2020 was 49,717 compared to 123,304 on 30 June 2019.

    What will be the total number of commercial flights in operation on 30 June 2021?

    Flightrader24’s “2020 7-day moving average” for the number of commercial flights on 30 June 2021 will be considered for resolution. The 7-day moving average is used so as to smooth out any day-of-the-week effects.

    Categories:
    The Economist 2021
    Economy
    Aviation Industry

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