Question
How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?
Resolved:961.328kTotal Forecasters53
Community Prediction
892k
(823k - 970k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 822.8k | — |
| median | 892.1k | — |
| upper 75% | 970.1k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1.5M | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?961.328k
Community Baseline Score
7.3
Community Peer Score
30.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 3, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 3, 2021