Question

What will the mean level of transit activity be in New York City for the week 2021-01-24 through 2021-01-30?

Resolved:44.37

15 comments15

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction

46.1

(43.7 - 48.6)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<10	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>130
community	0.1%	43.65	46.14	48.58	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<10	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	43.65	—
median	46.14	—
upper 75%	48.58	—
Upper bound
>130	0.1%	—

What was the final result?44.37

Community Peer Score

10.3

Community Baseline Score

102.1

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 16, 2020

Closes:

Jan 23, 2021

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 18, 2020

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