Question

Will enough signatures be gathered to schedule a recall election for California Govenor Gavin Newsom?

Resolved :Yes

104 comments104

Total Forecasters189

Community Prediction

90%

(87% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

54.4

Community Peer Score

17.3

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Dec 25, 2020

Closes:

Mar 1, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 27, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 27, 2020

Politics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Gavin Newsom

Secretary of State of California

California

Constitution of California

Here's How You Know Things Are Terrible in California

Townhall•Mar 24, 2025

Almost 50% of California Voters Considering Voting for GOP Governor

Breitbart•Mar 24, 2025

California Dems nervous about Republicans speaking out — and possibly losing control

New York Post•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Comments

? comments