Question
What will (seasonally-adjusted, annualized) unemployment insurance payments be in 2021 Q1, in billions of $USD?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters41
Community Prediction
>500
(493 - >500)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 492.8 | — |
| median | >500 | — |
| upper 75% | >500 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >500 | 66.5% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
102.8
Community Peer Score
57.0
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2020
Closes:Feb 28, 2021
Resolves:May 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2020
Will unemployed US citizens be provided with average benefits of at least $1,000 per month in 2030?
20%
What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?
1.35
What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?
4.38
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2020
Closes:Feb 28, 2021
Resolves:May 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2020
Will unemployed US citizens be provided with average benefits of at least $1,000 per month in 2030?
20%
What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?
1.35
What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?
4.38