Question

What will the US Q1 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?

Resolved:6.4

9 comments9

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction

5.47

(3.17 - 7.84)

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CDF

	<-35	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>35
community	0.2%	3.172	5.473	7.845	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-35	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	3.172	—
median	5.473	—
upper 75%	7.845	—
Upper bound
>35	0.2%	—

What was the final result?6.4

Community Peer Score

4.0

Community Baseline Score

97.8

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 22, 2020

Closes:

Feb 28, 2021

Resolves:

May 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 24, 2020

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

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