Question
Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters127
Community Prediction
80%
(72% - 85%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
8.9
Authors:
Opened:Jan 3, 2021
Closes:Dec 2, 2021
Resolves:Feb 18, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 4, 2021
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
603
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?
80%
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Jan 2035
Authors:
Opened:Jan 3, 2021
Closes:Dec 2, 2021
Resolves:Feb 18, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 4, 2021
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
603
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?
80%
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Jan 2035