48 comments
187 forecasters
Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?
79%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 79% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 21, 2020
Closes:Nov 1, 2022
Resolved:Jan 4, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2020
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Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
40% chance
42
Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?
28% chance
25
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
97