11 comments
53 forecasters
Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to sexual harassment or unwanted sexual advances in 2021?
5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2020
Closes:Nov 18, 2021
Resolved:Jan 20, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2021
Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?
32% chance
40
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
33% chance
79
When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?
25 Jul 2028
(18 Apr 2025 - >31 Dec 2029)
25 Jul 2028
(18 Apr 2025 - >31 Dec 2029)
15 forecasters