3 comments
37 forecasters
How much money will ACE estimate to have influenced in 2021?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 29, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2021
Resolved:May 17, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2020
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79% chance
90
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?
31.2%
(17.5 - 47)
31.2%
(17.5 - 47)
21 forecasters
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
33% chance
79