Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
125
comments
583
forecasters
How much global warming by 2100?
Current estimate
3.19 °C
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Dec 21, 2017
Closes:
Jan 1, 2101
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 23, 2017
Environment & Climate
Technology
Geopolitics
News Match
U.N.: World Likely to Surpass 1.5 Degrees Celsius Climate Goal
Democracy Now
•
Nov 5, 2025
World ‘very likely’ to exceed 1.5C climate goal in next decade: UN
Al Jazeera
•
Nov 5, 2025
World will overshoot 1.5 degree climate goal, UN says
CNN
•
Nov 4, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?
97%
chance
550
When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?
Oct 2043
(Mar 2036 - Oct 2055)
Oct 2043
(Mar 2036 - Oct 2055)
138
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
22%
chance
144
Show More Questions