115 comments
370 forecasters
Will Andrew Yang win the 2021 New York City mayoral election?
10%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 29, 2020
Closes:Jun 23, 2021
Resolved:Jun 26, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 30, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?
5% chance
43
Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?
98% chance
167
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
14.9 pp
(10.5 - 18.8)
14.9 pp
(10.5 - 18.8)
48 forecasters