Question
When will AI be able to accurately infer the implied ending of the children's book, "I Want My Hat Back"?
Resolved:18 Jul 2023Total Forecasters195
Community Prediction
09 Mar 2024
(16 Jun 2023 - 29 Jun 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 16 Jun 2023 | — |
| median | 09 Mar 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 29 Jun 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2041 | 1.6% | — |
What was the final result?18 Jul 2023
Community Baseline Score
8.2
Community Peer Score
9.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2041
Resolves:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 18, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2041
Resolves:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 18, 2021