Question
How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?
Resolved:64.128269MTotal Forecasters27
Community Prediction
50.3M
(30.5M - 95.6M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <3M | 1.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 30.53M | — |
| median | 50.27M | — |
| upper 75% | 95.58M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100M | 22.7% | — |
What was the final result?64.128269M
Community Baseline Score
27.2
Community Peer Score
20.9
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Aug 19, 2021
Resolves:Feb 28, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Aug 19, 2021
Resolves:Feb 28, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021
