🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?

Resolved :64.1M50.3M
6
16
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction50.3M (30.5M - 95.6M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<3M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100M
...
...
...
...
...
1.1%
30.53M
50.27M
95.58M
22.7%

What was the final result?64.1M

Community Baseline Score
27.2
Community Peer Score
20.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2021 Leaderboard
Open Philanthropy
Future of Life Institute
Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Risk management
OpenAI

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