48 forecasters

What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?

community

5.35

result

5.28

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Dec 24, 2021

Resolved:

Mar 23, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 16, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

Map Shows Worldwide Fight Over Democracy

Newsweek•Sep 11, 2025

Global press freedom suffers sharpest fall in 50 years, report finds

Guardian•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch