127 comments
125 forecasters
When will the UK reach herd immunity (>53.3m) for Covid-19?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 4, 2021
Closes:Feb 27, 2022
Resolved:Apr 7, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 5, 2021
When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?
>22 Dec 2025
(>22 Dec 2025 - >22 Dec 2025)
>22 Dec 2025
(>22 Dec 2025 - >22 Dec 2025)
35 forecasters
What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?
815 per 100,000
(590 - 1025)
815 per 100,000
(590 - 1025)
9 forecasters
When will COVID-19 be eradicated?
2091
(Jul 2064 - >2100)
2091
(Jul 2064 - >2100)
55 forecasters