Question
What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election?
Resolved:55.2Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction
59.4
(53.2 - 63)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <33 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 53.22 | — |
| median | 59.44 | — |
| upper 75% | 63.02 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >66 | 12.3% | — |
What was the final result?55.2
Community Peer Score
13.0
Community Baseline Score
18.0
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:May 4, 2021
Resolves:May 9, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:May 4, 2021
Resolves:May 9, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021