Question
How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction
300M $
(108M $ - 766M $)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1M $ | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 108.4M $ | — |
| median | 299.8M $ | — |
| upper 75% | 766.2M $ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10B $ | 1.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021