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Change in degree of automation — '20 to '22


This question is part of the Hill Climbing Round of the Forecasting AI Progress Tournament. You can view all other questions in this round here.

The Occupational Information Network (O*NET) is a free online database that contains hundreds of occupational definitions to help students, job seekers, businesses and workforce development professionals to understand today's world of work in the United States.

O*NET reports its estimate of the current level of the “degree of automation” for each job in its database. The scale ranges from 0 to 100 (0=slightly automated; 50=moderately automated; 75=highly automated; 100=completely automated).

How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to January 2022?

For the purpose of this question, the key profession are the following (with the degree of automation in December 2020 in brackets):

General and Operations Managers (32); Registered Nurses (26); Software Quality Assurance Analysts and Testers (39); Compliance Managers (18); Regulatory Affairs Managers (17); Retail Salespersons (29); Fast Food and Counter Workers (32); Cashiers (23); Customer Service Representatives (46); Lawyers (22); Treasurers and Controllers (40); Financial Managers (39); Baristas (41); Personal Care Aides (16); Wind Energy Operations Managers (39)

The average degree of automation of these professions is 30.6.


This question resolves as the percentage change in the average degree of automation from the values in December 2020 (listed above) to the values on 2022-01-14 according to O-NET. Note in particular that:

  • the question resolves as the percent change from 30.6 to the value on 2022-01-14, not the average point change

  • positive number represent an increase of the degree in automation, and negative numbers represent a decrease in the degree of automation

If any of the listed profession is no longer reported by O*NET, the calculation is to be done with the relevant profession dropped from both the December 2020 values the 2022-01-14 values.

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