Question
How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?
Resolved:560Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction
583
(497 - 689)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <150 | 1.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 497.1 | — |
| median | 583.4 | — |
| upper 75% | 689.4 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1700 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?560
Community Peer Score
26.7
Community Baseline Score
84.9
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 14, 2021
Resolves:Jan 19, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 14, 2021
Resolves:Jan 19, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2021